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Malta vs Azerbaijan prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Malta

1-1

Mon, 10 Sept

Azerbaijan

Model's readAttard
1 43%X 29%2 28%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.8%

xG

1.4 – 1.1

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
MaltaWDWWW
AzerbaijanWDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Malta favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.39 goals for Malta and 1.06 for Azerbaijan, giving 43% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.06
  • Clean sheet chance: Malta 35%, Azerbaijan 25%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Malta v Azerbaijan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Malta43.2%
Draw29.2%
Azerbaijan27.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.4

Malta

Average

4.9

Azerbaijan

Average

MaltaLast 10 gamesAzerbaijan
1.60Points per game1.50
1.2Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

MaltaWDWWW
  • 4 OctHAndorra1-0
  • 1 OctHGibraltar1-1
  • 27 SeptHLiechtenstein2-0
  • 24 SeptAAndorra2-1
  • 5 JunAAzerbaijan2-0
  • 1 JunASlovakia1-2
AzerbaijanWDDWW
  • 4 OctHLithuania1-0
  • 1 OctHLiechtenstein0-0
  • 27 SeptALithuania1-1
  • 23 SeptHTajikistan1-0
  • 9 JunHSan Marino2-1
  • 5 JunHMalta0-2

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

4

Malta

3

Draws

2

Azerbaijan

  • 5 Jun 26Azerbaijan 0-2 Malta
  • 25 Mar 22Malta 1-0 Azerbaijan
  • 14 Oct 18Azerbaijan 1-1 Malta
  • 10 Sept 18Malta 1-1 Azerbaijan
  • 6 Sept 15Malta 2-2 Azerbaijan
Every meeting between these two →