Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Chile are the model's slight pick at 39%, against 33% for Mexico and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.39 for Chile and 1.24 for Mexico. Mexico's recent form is colder than their season, though the model already weights recent results.
Chile
Above average
Mexico
Average
4
Chile
3
Draws
3
Mexico