Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.8 – 0.8
Over 2.5
71%
Both score
54%
The model projects 2.80 goals for England and 0.85 for Costa Rica, giving 77% for the home win, 15% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
England
Above average
Costa Rica
Average
2
England
1
Draws
0
Costa Rica