
Slovenia
0-1

Croatia
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model makes Slovenia the pick at 45% to win, against 28% for Croatia and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.58 for Slovenia and 1.19 for Croatia, so the home side has the edge without a big margin. Goals markets sit close to even, with over 2.5 at 52%.
Slovenia
Above average
Croatia
Average
1
Slovenia
4
Draws
5
Croatia