Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
The model projects 1.65 goals for Kenya and 1.03 for Burundi, giving 51% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Kenya
Above average
Burundi
Average
2
Kenya
2
Draws
1
Burundi