Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
Mexico are the model's pick at 49%, with Chile at 24% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.61 for Mexico and 1.06 for Chile. Mexico's recent form has been poor, but the model already weights recent results, so that is partly priced in.
Mexico
Average
Chile
Above average
3
Mexico
3
Draws
4
Chile