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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Azerbaijan

2-1

Fri, 26 Jun

Lithuania

Model's readViljandi
1 39%X 30%2 31%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

78.7%

xG

1.3 – 1.1

Over 2.5

42%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
AzerbaijanWDDWW
LithuaniaLWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Azerbaijan favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.26 goals for Azerbaijan and 1.10 for Lithuania, giving 39% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.26 - 1.10
  • Clean sheet chance: Azerbaijan 33%, Lithuania 28%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Azerbaijan v Lithuania

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Azerbaijan39.0%
Draw29.9%
Lithuania31.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Azerbaijan

Average

4.8

Lithuania

Average

AzerbaijanLast 10 gamesLithuania
1.50Points per game1.10
1.3Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored20%
30%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score50%

Recent results

AzerbaijanWDDWW
  • 4 OctHLithuania1-0
  • 1 OctHLiechtenstein0-0
  • 27 SeptALithuania1-1
  • 23 SeptHTajikistan1-0
  • 9 JunHSan Marino2-1
  • 5 JunHMalta0-2
LithuaniaLWDWL
  • 4 OctAAzerbaijan0-1
  • 30 SeptHAndorra3-0
  • 27 SeptHAzerbaijan1-1
  • 24 SeptALiechtenstein2-0
  • 29 MarHGeorgia0-2
  • 26 MarAMoldova2-0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

2

Azerbaijan

2

Draws

1

Lithuania

  • 4 Oct 26Azerbaijan 1-0 Lithuania
  • 27 Sept 26Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan
  • 25 Mar 19Azerbaijan 0-0 Lithuania
  • 26 Mar 08Lithuania 1-0 Azerbaijan
  • 26 Jun 98Azerbaijan 2-1 Lithuania
Every meeting between these two →