Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
The model makes Mexico the most likely winner at 49%, with a 27% draw and 24% Chile win. Expected goals are 1.61 for Mexico and 1.06 for Chile. Mexico's recent form has been weaker than their overall record, but the model already weights recent results more heavily.
Mexico
Average
Chile
Above average
3
Mexico
3
Draws
4
Chile