Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
48%
The model projects 1.43 goals for Lithuania and 0.96 for Azerbaijan, giving 47% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Lithuania
Average
Azerbaijan
Average
1
Lithuania
2
Draws
2
Azerbaijan