Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5
69%
Both score
54%
The model makes England the likely winner at 75%, against a 48% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.69 for England and 0.86 for Czech Republic. A 16% draw and 9% away win remain possible, so this is a probability, not a sure thing.
England
Above average
Czech Republic
Average
6
England
1
Draws
1
Czech Republic