Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
57%
Croatia are the model's pick at 43% to win, against 30% for Slovenia and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.52 for Croatia and 1.24 for Slovenia. Croatia's recent form has run colder than their season, though the model already prices part of that in.
Croatia
Average
Slovenia
Above average
5
Croatia
4
Draws
1
Slovenia