Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.41 goals for Madagascar and 1.22 for Mali, giving 40% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Madagascar
Above average
Mali
Above average
0
Madagascar
1
Draws
2
Mali