Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
54%
The model projects 2.06 goals for Spain and 0.93 for Uruguay, giving 63% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Spain
Above average
Uruguay
Above average
4
Spain
2
Draws
0
Uruguay