Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
60%
The model projects 2.43 goals for France and 1.04 for Sweden, giving 67% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
France
Above average
Sweden
Above average
6
France
2
Draws
2
Sweden