Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model makes Slovenia the favourite, with a 46% home win, 27% draw and 27% Croatia win. Expected goals are 1.60 for Slovenia and 1.17 for Croatia. Over 2.5 is 52%, close to a coin flip, so goals markets offer little edge.
Slovenia
Above average
Croatia
Average
1
Slovenia
4
Draws
5
Croatia