Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
50%
The model makes Turkey the clear favourite, with a 64% home win against 14% for North Macedonia. That is well above the 46% home-win norm in this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.00 for Turkey and 0.84 for North Macedonia.
Turkey
Average
North Macedonia
Average
6
Turkey
2
Draws
1
North Macedonia