Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
The model's strongest read is away or draw for Iceland, at 69% against a 52% norm in this competition. Iceland are rated 40th of 219 sides to Luxembourg's 164th, projecting 1.33 goals to 1.13. Even so, the home win is 31%, so this is a lean, not a certainty.
Luxembourg
Average
Iceland
Above average
1
Luxembourg
3
Draws
4
Iceland