Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
The model makes Mexico the likeliest winner at 49%, with a draw at 27% and Chile at 24%. Expected goals are 1.61 for Mexico and 1.06 for Chile. Mexico's recent form is below their usual level, so treat the lead as modest.
Mexico
Average
Chile
Above average
3
Mexico
3
Draws
4
Chile