Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
The model favours Mexico at home, with a 49% win chance against 27% for a draw and 24% for Chile. It projects 1.61 goals for Mexico and 1.06 for Chile. Mexico's recent form has been poor, but the model already weights recent results more heavily.
Mexico
Average
Chile
Above average
3
Mexico
3
Draws
4
Chile