Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.73 goals for Mexico and 0.83 for Peru, giving 58% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mexico
Average
Peru
Average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Peru