Our pick
Away Win
xG
1.1 – 2.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
57%
The model projects 1.07 goals for Sweden and 1.96 for France, giving 19% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 57% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Sweden
Above average
France
Above average
2
Sweden
2
Draws
6
France