Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Iceland
1-1
Luxembourg
Model's readReykjavík
1 57%X 26%2 17%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
74.3%
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
IcelandDWWDL
LuxembourgLLLWWMatch analysis
EnhancedIceland favoured at 57%, goals markets close to even
Iceland are the model's pick at 57% to win, with Luxembourg at 17%. The model expects 1.72 goals for Iceland and 0.85 for Luxembourg, and Luxembourg's attack meets Iceland's defence (46th best). Goals markets are close to even, so the edge is in the result, not the totals.
Match result
1X2Iceland57.0%
Draw25.7%
Luxembourg17.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Iceland
Above average
4.9
Luxembourg
Average
IcelandLast 10 gamesLuxembourg1.00Points per game1.20
1.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
30%Both teams scored10%
30%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings4
Iceland
3
Draws
1
Luxembourg
- 29 Sept 26Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland
- 13 Oct 23Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
- 8 Sept 23Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland
- 14 Nov 09Luxembourg 1-1 Iceland
- 10 Mar 99Luxembourg 1-2 Iceland