Porto vs Moreirense Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home Win

71.5%

xG

2.1 – 0.6

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

42%

Form

Full stats →

PortoWWWLW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Porto favoured at 71%, in a middling game

The model projects 2.11 goals for Porto and 0.65 for Moreirense, giving 71% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 14%
Expected goals: 2.11 - 0.65
Clean sheet chance: Porto 52%, Moreirense 12%

Match result

1X2

Porto71.5%

Draw18.2%

Moreirense10.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.4

Porto

Elite

4.9

Moreirense

Average

PortoLast 10 games

Moreirense

2.70Points per game0.90

2.1Goals scored per game0.8

0.6Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored40%

50%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score50%

Recent results

PortoWWWLW

MoreirenseLDWLL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
4	Benfica22′ 0-0	8	+15	17
5	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
6	Arouca	7	+3	11
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães22′ 0-0	8	-3	6
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2