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Sweden vs France prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 1Full time

Sweden

0-1

Sat, 5 Sept

France

Model's readStockholm
1 26%X 24%2 50%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

74.1%

xG

1.3 – 1.9

Over 2.5

63%

Both score

64%

Form

Full stats →
SwedenWDWWL
FranceWDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

France favoured at 50%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.34 goals for Sweden and 1.93 for France, giving 26% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 50% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.93
  • Clean sheet chance: Sweden 15%, France 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sweden v France

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sweden25.9%
Draw23.9%
France50.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.6

Sweden

Above average

6.5

France

Above average

SwedenLast 10 gamesFrance
1.50Points per game2.20
1.7Goals scored per game2.1
1.8Goals conceded per game1.1
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Both teams scored40%
10%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

SwedenWDWWL
  • 5 OctARomania1-0
  • 2 OctABosnia-Herzegovina1-1
  • 28 SeptHPoland3-1
  • 25 SeptHRomania2-1
  • 30 JunAFrance0-3
  • 25 JunAJapan1-1
FranceWDWWL
  • 5 OctHBelgium4-1
  • 2 OctHItaly1-1
  • 28 SeptABelgium1-0
  • 25 SeptATurkey1-0
  • 18 JulHEngland4-6
  • 14 JulHSpain0-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Sweden

2

Draws

6

France

  • 30 Jun 26France 3-0 Sweden
  • 17 Nov 20France 4-2 Sweden
  • 5 Sept 20Sweden 0-1 France
  • 9 Jun 17Sweden 2-1 France
  • 11 Nov 16France 2-1 Sweden
Every meeting between these two →