Porto vs Marítimo prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 3Full time
Porto
2-3
Marítimo
Model's readEstádio Do Dragão
1 73%X 17%2 10%
Our pick
Home Win
73.5%
xG
2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →PortoWWLWWMarítimoDLLLDMatch analysis
EnhancedPorto favoured to win, model gives them 73%
The model makes Porto clear favourites at 73%, well above the 43% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.25 for Porto and 0.67 for Marítimo. Porto have won all six recent games, which the model's recency weighting already reflects.
Match result
1X2Porto73.5%
Draw16.8%
Marítimo9.7%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Porto
Elite
4.2
Marítimo
Average
PortoLast 10 gamesMarítimo2.40Points per game1.10
2.0Goals scored per game1.2
0.8Goals conceded per game1.8
50%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored80%
50%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto77′ 1-1 | 8 | +15 | 22 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9▲ | Marítimo77′ 1-1 | 8 | -4 | 9 |
| 10▼ |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11▼ |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.