
Slovenia
1-0

Croatia
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model gives Slovenia the best chance at home, at 45% to win against 28% for Croatia and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.58 for Slovenia and 1.19 for Croatia. Over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge.
Slovenia
Above average
Croatia
Average
1
Slovenia
4
Draws
5
Croatia