Marítimo vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 5Full time
Marítimo
2-2
Arouca
Model's readEstádio da Madeira
1 34%X 25%2 42%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →MarítimoLDLLLAroucaDLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedArouca favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.31 goals for Marítimo and 1.49 for Arouca, giving 34% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.31 - 1.49
- Clean sheet chance: Marítimo 22%, Arouca 27%
Match result
1X2Marítimo33.6%
Draw24.7%
Arouca41.8%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Marítimo
Average
5.7
Arouca
Above average
MarítimoLast 10 gamesArouca1.10Points per game1.80
1.2Goals scored per game1.8
1.7Goals conceded per game1.1
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5▲ | AroucaHT 1-0 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6▼ |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela AmadoraHT 0-1 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.