Croatia vs Slovenia prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
CroatiaLLLWL
SloveniaWLWDLMatch analysis
EnhancedCroatia favoured at home, but only narrowly
The model gives Croatia a 43% chance to win at home, against 30% for Slovenia and 27% for a draw. Croatia's expected goals are 1.52 to Slovenia's 1.24, so the edge is real but modest. The goals markets look close to even, with over 2.5 at 52%.
Match result
1X2Croatia42.7%
Draw27.3%
Slovenia30.0%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Croatia
Average
5.9
Slovenia
Above average
CroatiaLast 10 gamesSlovenia1.20Points per game1.20
1.2Goals scored per game1.1
2.4Goals conceded per game1.2
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
70%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Croatia
4
Draws
1
Slovenia
- 7 Jun 26Croatia 2-1 Slovenia
- 26 Mar 22Croatia 1-1 Slovenia
- 7 Sept 21Croatia 3-0 Slovenia
- 24 Mar 21Slovenia 1-0 Croatia
- 20 Aug 08Slovenia 2-3 Croatia