Porto vs Benfica prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 10Full time
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Model's readEstádio Do Dragão
1 41%X 25%2 34%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →PortoWWWLWBenficaLWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedPorto favoured at 41%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.45 goals for Porto and 1.29 for Benfica, giving 41% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.45 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Porto 28%, Benfica 23%
Match result
1X2Porto41.2%
Draw25.0%
Benfica33.8%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Porto
Elite
9.0
Benfica
Elite
PortoLast 10 gamesBenfica2.70Points per game2.50
2.1Goals scored per game2.9
0.6Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Porto
2
Draws
4
Benfica
- 20 Sept 26Porto 3-1 Benfica
- 8 Mar 26Benfica 2-2 Porto
- 5 Oct 25Porto 0-0 Benfica
- 6 Apr 25Porto 1-4 Benfica
- 10 Nov 24Benfica 4-1 Porto