Arouca vs Marítimo prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 27Full time
Arouca
1-0
Marítimo
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 51%X 23%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.6%
xG
1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →AroucaDLDWLMarítimoLDLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedArouca favoured at 51%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.72 goals for Arouca and 1.13 for Marítimo, giving 51% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.72 - 1.13
- Clean sheet chance: Arouca 32%, Marítimo 18%
Match result
1X2Arouca51.2%
Draw23.4%
Marítimo25.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
4.2
Marítimo
Average
AroucaLast 10 gamesMarítimo1.80Points per game1.10
1.8Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game1.7
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored80%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5▲ | AroucaHT 1-0 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6▼ |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela AmadoraHT 0-1 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.