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Mexico vs Peru prediction, International Friendlies

International Friendlies · Round 1Full time

Mexico

1-0

Sat, 24 Sept

Peru

Model's readPasadena
1 58%X 25%2 17%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

74.3%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
PeruLLDLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mexico favoured at 58%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.73 goals for Mexico and 0.83 for Peru, giving 58% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.73 - 0.83
  • Clean sheet chance: Mexico 43%, Peru 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mexico v Peru

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mexico57.9%
Draw25.3%
Peru16.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.3

Mexico

Average

4.8

Peru

Average

MexicoLast 10 gamesPeru
1.70Points per game0.80
1.5Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0
PeruLLDLL
  • 6 OctAColombia0-2
  • 3 OctACanada0-2
  • 30 SeptAMexico1-1
  • 26 SeptAUSA1-4
  • 8 JunHSpain1-3
  • 5 JunAHaiti2-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Mexico

4

Draws

3

Peru

  • 30 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Peru
  • 24 Sept 22Mexico 1-0 Peru
  • 3 Jun 15Peru 1-1 Mexico
  • 17 Apr 13Mexico 0-0 Peru
  • 8 Jul 11Peru 1-0 Mexico
Every meeting between these two →