
Luxembourg
3-1

Iceland
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
45%
Away or Draw sits at 77%, above the 54% norm for this competition, so it is the model's strongest read. Iceland are the slight favourites to win at 48%, with Luxembourg's 12th-weakest attack facing Iceland's 46th-best defence. Expected goals are 0.88 and 1.40, so a low-scoring game is projected.
Luxembourg
Average
Iceland
Above average
1
Luxembourg
3
Draws
4
Iceland