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Kenya vs Burundi prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 3Full time

Kenya

1-1

Fri, 7 Jun

Burundi

Model's readBingu National Stadium
1 54%X 26%2 21%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.0%

xG

1.7 – 1.0

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
KenyaDWDWD
BurundiLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Kenya favoured at 54%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.69 goals for Kenya and 0.97 for Burundi, giving 54% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.69 - 0.97
  • Clean sheet chance: Kenya 38%, Burundi 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Kenya v Burundi

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Kenya53.5%
Draw25.5%
Burundi21.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Kenya

Above average

5.0

Burundi

Average

KenyaLast 10 gamesBurundi
1.20Points per game0.70
1.0Goals scored per game0.6
2.2Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
20%Both teams scored0%
40%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score80%

Recent results

KenyaDWDWD
  • 5 OctARwanda0-0
  • 7 JunHLesotho4-0
  • 4 JunALesotho1-1
  • 30 MarAGrenada3-0
  • 27 MarHEstonia1-1
  • 18 NovASenegal0-8
BurundiLLLLL
  • 26 MayAMorocco0-5
  • 14 OctAGabon0-2
  • 9 OctHKenya0-1
  • 9 SeptAGambia0-2
  • 5 SeptAIvory Coast0-1
  • 10 JunHMauritania0-0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

2

Kenya

2

Draws

1

Burundi

  • 9 Oct 25Burundi 0-1 Kenya
  • 7 Jun 24Kenya 1-1 Burundi
  • 15 Jul 14Kenya 0-0 Burundi
  • 3 Oct 00Kenya 2-3 Burundi
  • 30 Sept 00Kenya 1-0 Burundi
Every meeting between these two →