Madagascar vs Mali prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
MadagascarLDWWL
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMadagascar favoured at 41%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for Madagascar and 1.21 for Mali, giving 41% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.21
- Clean sheet chance: Madagascar 30%, Mali 24%
Match result
1X2Madagascar41.3%
Draw27.5%
Mali31.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Madagascar
Above average
5.6
Mali
Above average
MadagascarLast 10 gamesMali1.60Points per game1.20
1.7Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings0
Madagascar
1
Draws
2
Mali
- 12 Oct 25Mali 4-1 Madagascar
- 11 Jun 24Madagascar 0-0 Mali
- 27 Apr 03Madagascar 0-2 Mali