Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
63%
The model projects 1.84 goals for France and 1.34 for Belgium, giving 48% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
France
Above average
Belgium
Above average
7
France
2
Draws
1
Belgium