France vs Belgium prediction, UEFA European Championship
France
1-0
Belgium
Model's readDüsseldorf
1 39%X 27%2 34%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.9%
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
FranceWDWWL
BelgiumLWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedFrance favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.48 goals for France and 1.38 for Belgium, giving 39% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.38
- Clean sheet chance: France 25%, Belgium 23%
Match result
1X2France38.8%
Draw27.1%
Belgium34.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
France
Above average
5.6
Belgium
Above average
FranceLast 10 gamesBelgium2.20Points per game1.70
2.1Goals scored per game2.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
France
2
Draws
1
Belgium
- 5 Oct 26France 4-1 Belgium
- 28 Sept 26Belgium 0-1 France
- 14 Oct 24Belgium 1-2 France
- 9 Sept 24France 2-0 Belgium
- 1 Jul 24France 1-0 Belgium