Burnley vs Swansea prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
BurnleyWDLDL
SwanseaWWWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedBurnley favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.35 goals for Burnley and 1.27 for Swansea, giving 38% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.27
- Clean sheet chance: Burnley 28%, Swansea 26%
Match result
1X2Burnley37.8%
Draw28.2%
Swansea34.0%
Model rating
All ratings →7.0
Burnley
Strong
6.7
Swansea
Above average
BurnleyLast 10 gamesSwansea0.80Points per game2.00
1.3Goals scored per game1.5
1.7Goals conceded per game0.8
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Burnley
0
Draws
5
Swansea
- 12 Sept 26Swansea 3-1 Burnley
- 15 Mar 25Swansea 0-2 Burnley
- 10 Nov 24Burnley 1-0 Swansea
- 2 Jan 23Swansea 1-2 Burnley
- 15 Oct 22Burnley 4-0 Swansea