Derby County vs Burnley Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

Derby CountyDDLLL

BurnleyWDLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Derby County favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.41 goals for Derby County and 1.24 for Burnley, giving 40% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.41 - 1.24
Clean sheet chance: Derby County 29%, Burnley 24%

Match result

1X2

Derby County39.9%

Draw28.0%

Burnley32.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.0

Derby County

Average

7.0

Burnley

Strong

Derby CountyLast 10 games

Burnley

0.60Points per game0.80

0.9Goals scored per game1.3

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Derby CountyDDLLL

BurnleyWDLDL

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4