Watford vs Burnley prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.1%
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
WatfordLLLWL
BurnleyWDLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedWatford favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.35 goals for Watford and 1.24 for Burnley, giving 38% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.24
- Clean sheet chance: Watford 29%, Burnley 26%
Match result
1X2Watford38.4%
Draw28.4%
Burnley33.2%
Model rating
All ratings →4.4
Watford
Average
7.0
Burnley
Strong
WatfordLast 10 gamesBurnley0.80Points per game0.80
0.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.9Goals conceded per game1.7
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored80%
0%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Watford
3
Draws
5
Burnley
- 18 Apr 25Watford 1-2 Burnley
- 21 Dec 24Burnley 2-1 Watford
- 14 Feb 23Burnley 1-1 Watford
- 12 Aug 22Watford 1-0 Burnley
- 30 Apr 22Watford 1-2 Burnley