Porto vs Benfica prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 28Full time
Porto
1-4
Benfica
Model's readEstádio do Dragão
1 41%X 25%2 34%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →PortoWWWLWBenficaWLWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedPorto favoured at 41%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.45 goals for Porto and 1.29 for Benfica, giving 41% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.45 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Porto 28%, Benfica 23%
Match result
1X2Porto41.2%
Draw25.0%
Benfica33.8%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Porto
Elite
9.0
Benfica
Elite
PortoLast 10 gamesBenfica2.70Points per game2.70
2.1Goals scored per game3.0
0.6Goals conceded per game0.7
50%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca42′ 1-1 | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8▲ |  Estrela Amadora42′ 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9▼ |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Porto
2
Draws
4
Benfica
- 20 Sept 26Porto 3-1 Benfica
- 8 Mar 26Benfica 2-2 Porto
- 5 Oct 25Porto 0-0 Benfica
- 6 Apr 25Porto 1-4 Benfica
- 10 Nov 24Benfica 4-1 Porto