Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
52%
The model makes Bangladesh the strongest call at 67% to win, against a 48% norm for this competition. Maldives have failed to score in 5 of their last 6, and their defence ranks 2nd weakest. Expected goals are 2.20 to 0.86, so a Bangladesh win is the main read.
Bangladesh
Above average
Maldives
Average
1
Bangladesh
1
Draws
3
Maldives