Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
53%
The model leans towards Bangladesh, with a 43% home win against 29% for Nepal and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.45 for Bangladesh and 1.15 for Nepal. Over 2.5 goals sits at 48%, close to even, so the goals markets offer little edge.
Bangladesh
Above average
Nepal
Above average
2
Bangladesh
6
Draws
2
Nepal