Nepal vs Bangladesh prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
NepalDDDWW
BangladeshWLDDWMatch analysis
EnhancedNepal favoured at 45%, but it is a close call
The model makes Nepal the slight favourites at home, with a 45% chance of a win against 27% for Bangladesh. Over 2.5 goals sits at 48%, so the goals markets offer little edge. Treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Match result
1X2Nepal45.1%
Draw27.7%
Bangladesh27.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Nepal
Above average
5.6
Bangladesh
Above average
NepalLast 10 gamesBangladesh1.30Points per game1.50
1.0Goals scored per game1.0
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Nepal
6
Draws
2
Bangladesh
- 13 Nov 25Bangladesh 2-2 Nepal
- 6 Sept 25Nepal 0-0 Bangladesh
- 27 Sept 22Nepal 3-1 Bangladesh
- 29 Mar 21Nepal 2-1 Bangladesh
- 27 Mar 21Nepal 0-0 Bangladesh