Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.58 goals for Mexico and 0.94 for South Korea, giving 51% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mexico
Average
South Korea
Above average
5
Mexico
2
Draws
1
South Korea