Ajax vs Telstar prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home Win
65.3%
xG
2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
AjaxDDWWL
TelstarLDLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedAjax favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.31 goals for Ajax and 1.01 for Telstar, giving 65% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.31 - 1.01
- Clean sheet chance: Ajax 36%, Telstar 10%
Match result
1X2Ajax65.3%
Draw20.7%
Telstar14.1%
Model rating
All ratings →7.4
Ajax
Strong
4.8
Telstar
Average
AjaxLast 10 gamesTelstar1.90Points per game1.20
3.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.7Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
90%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8▲ |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9▼ |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Telstar85′ 2-2 | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 |  Cambuur83′ 0-0 | 8 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle83′ 0-0 | 8 | -14 | 5 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag85′ 2-2 | 8 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
Ajax
0
Draws
0
Telstar
- 30 Aug 26Telstar 0-4 Ajax
- 11 Jan 26Telstar 2-3 Ajax
- 10 Aug 25Ajax 2-0 Telstar