Porto vs Casa Pia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 3Full time
Porto
4-0
Casa Pia
Model's readEstádio do Dragão
1 76%X 16%2 8%
Our pick Strong
Home Win
76.1%
xG
2.2 – 0.6
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
38%
Form
Full stats →PortoWWWLWCasa PiaLWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedPorto favoured at 76%, in a middling game
The model projects 2.24 goals for Porto and 0.56 for Casa Pia, giving 76% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 2.24 - 0.56
- Clean sheet chance: Porto 57%, Casa Pia 11%
Match result
1X2Porto76.1%
Draw16.1%
Casa Pia7.8%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Porto
Elite
3.8
Casa Pia
Weak
PortoLast 10 gamesCasa Pia2.70Points per game0.80
2.1Goals scored per game0.5
0.6Goals conceded per game1.7
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored20%
50%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 9 meetings7
Porto
1
Draws
1
Casa Pia
- 12 Sept 26Casa Pia 1-4 Porto
- 2 Feb 26Casa Pia 2-1 Porto
- 24 Aug 25Porto 4-0 Casa Pia
- 12 Apr 25Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
- 2 Dec 24Porto 2-0 Casa Pia