New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction — Major League Soccer

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.8%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

New York City FCLDLWL

Toronto FCWLLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

New York City FC favoured at 53%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.75 goals for New York City FC and 1.08 for Toronto FC, giving 53% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.75 - 1.08
Clean sheet chance: New York City FC 34%, Toronto FC 17%

Match result

1X2

New York City FC52.5%

Draw24.3%

Toronto FC23.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.6

New York City FC

Above average

4.5

Toronto FC

Average

New York City FCLast 10 games

Toronto FC

0.70Points per game1.50

1.1Goals scored per game1.7

1.4Goals conceded per game2.0

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

70%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets0%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

New York City FCLDLWL

Toronto FCWLLLW

Major League Soccer

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	+34	60
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	+31	50
2	New England Revolution	27	+9	46
2	St. Louis City SC	27	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	+8	47
3	Inter Miami	27	+14	46
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	+10	45
4	Chicago Fire	27	+10	45
5	Charlotte FC	27	+9	43
5	Houston Dynamo	27	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	+13	41
6	Philadelphia Union	27	+10	39
7	Seattle Sounders	27	0	38
7	Orlando City	27	-16	34
8	Colorado Rapids	27	0	36
8	New York Red Bulls	27	-17	33
9	LA Galaxy	28	-7	36
9	New York City FC	27	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	-9	33
10	Portland Timbers	27	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	-4	32
11	DC United	26	-8	30
12	San Diego FC	27	0	32
12	Columbus Crew	27	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	-12	29
13	Austin FC	27	-12	31
14	Atlanta United	27	-13	27
14	Minnesota United	27	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	-33	21
15	CF Montréal	27	-20	24