Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.6
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
42%
The model projects 2.11 goals for Porto and 0.65 for Moreirense, giving 71% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Porto
Elite
Moreirense
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +15 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -13 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
9
Porto
1
Draws
0
Moreirense