South Korea vs Mexico prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
72.3%
xG
1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
South KoreaWDLWL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.97 goals for South Korea and 1.25 for Mexico, giving 28% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.97 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: South Korea 29%, Mexico 38%
Match result
1X2South Korea27.7%
Draw30.7%
Mexico41.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
South Korea
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
South KoreaLast 10 gamesMexico1.60Points per game1.70
1.4Goals scored per game1.5
0.8Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Both teams scored30%
50%Clean sheets50%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings1
South Korea
2
Draws
5
Mexico
- 18 Jun 26Mexico 1-0 South Korea
- 9 Sept 25Mexico 2-2 South Korea
- 14 Nov 20Mexico 3-2 South Korea
- 23 Jun 18South Korea 1-2 Mexico
- 29 Jan 14Mexico 4-0 South Korea