Benfica vs Porto prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
BenficaLWWWW
PortoWWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedBenfica favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.49 goals for Benfica and 1.26 for Porto, giving 43% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.26
- Clean sheet chance: Benfica 28%, Porto 23%
Match result
1X2Benfica42.7%
Draw24.9%
Porto32.4%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Benfica
Elite
9.4
Porto
Elite
BenficaLast 10 gamesPorto2.50Points per game2.70
2.9Goals scored per game2.1
0.8Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Benfica2′ 0-0 | 8 | +15 | 17 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães2′ 0-0 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Benfica
2
Draws
4
Porto
- 20 Sept 26Porto 3-1 Benfica
- 8 Mar 26Benfica 2-2 Porto
- 5 Oct 25Porto 0-0 Benfica
- 6 Apr 25Porto 1-4 Benfica
- 10 Nov 24Benfica 4-1 Porto